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In cutting the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 0.25% to 5.25% the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has executed a 180 degree turn from its hawkish stance just three months ago
The deciding factor for the MPC’s OCR cut was its view that excess capacity is growing by more than expected, which is seen as pushing inflation down further than it previously thought.
Disinflation progress continued to be made in the June quarter, with the annual inflation rate just a touch above the Reserve Bank’s 1-3% target.
Despite non-tradeable inflation remaining sticky, the Reserve Bank is likely to see justification in the June quarter outcome for its recent pivot to a less aggressive stance.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand Monetary Policy Committee kept the Official Cash Rate at 5.5% as expected by most economists.
A dovish statement from the Monetary Policy Committee opens the way for an Official Cash Rate cut as early as October.
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